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NiP/CLG vs Renegades/TSM | 20/08/2015

NiP TSM
NiP CSGO Logo Team SoloMid logo
Date League Match type
20/08/2015 ESL One Cologne 2015 Best-of-One
TBA
TBA logo
CSGO Lounge Odds Egaming bets Odds Our Pick Our Odds Risk level
-% / -% – / - TSM 35% / 65% 8/10

The Match-up

This match up is the one that will most likely happen. To be honest looking at the history of these two and comparing their past games/series, TSM is the clear favorite here (7 previous games/series won by TSM). But (there is always a but during Bo1 group-stages), we have seen glimpses of TSM being shaky during the past few events they attended and NiP did actually play above everyone’s expectations at Dreamhack Valencia, so there still is quite a lot of space for error in this one! As seen in the past – big tournaments can make underdog teams turn up from nowhere and make favorites crumble under the pressure!

Prediction:  As of now, looking at these two on paper, there is no doubt that TSM is the clear favorite in this match-up (their previous clashes plus other tournament achievements). Unless NiP totally demolish CLG and TSM struggle to beat Renegades, there is no favorable case for NiP in this one! TSM all the way!

Suggestion:  Unless you feel super confident for either one of the teams, I would suggest looking at the way they played their previous group stage game (how convincing was the win) before putting any skins/money down for either one of the sides!

NiP Renegades
NiP CSGO Logo
Date League Match type
20/08/2015 ESL One Cologne 2015 Best-of-One
TBA
TBA logo
CSGO Lounge Odds Egaming bets Odds Our Pick Our Odds Risk level
-% / -% – / – NiP 70% / 30% 6/10

The Match-up

On paper NiP is the favorite in this one, but Renegades winning TSM in order to face up against NiP would be a very big accomplishment by itself. Looking at the history between these two they have played each other only once at Gfinity Spring Masters II and surprisingly enough back then the Bo2 series went to a 1:1 score (Renegades won 16:13 at train; NiP won 16:5 at dust2). Although it was a 1:1 series, I think that that is definitely not big enough of a data pool for us to speculate around! If this match-up does happen, speculations of it’s outcome should be purely projected based on their previous games in group stage!

Prediction:  As of now, looking at these two on paper, NiP is the favorite in this match-up, but how big of a favorite should be projected from their performance vs CLG. If they overcome CLG with ease and come into Renegades who are drained out from a close game upset against TSM, NiP should be confident and experienced enough to seal the deal for top place in the group by overcoming Aussies too. However, if they struggle against CLG, then this game can turn out to be very interesting and Renegades could actually end up coming out on top in this one too, because if they are able to win TSM (plus managed to get 1 map off of Bo2 series against NiP in the past) they can surely play neck-to-neck with Ninjas too!

Suggestion:  Unless you are very impressed with NiP’s performance in their game vs CLG, I would not suggest going big on them whatever the odds are! If NiP struggle vs CLG, do consider a small bet on Renegades!

CLG TSM
CLG Logo Team SoloMid logo
Date League Match type
20/08/2015 ESL One Cologne 2015 Best-of-One
TBA
TBA logo
CSGO Lounge Odds Egaming bets Odds Our Pick Our Odds Risk level
-% / -% – / – TSM 25% / 75% 6/10

The Match-up

The chance of this match-up actually happening is bigger than NiP vs Renegades as there is a slightly bigger chance that CLG could upset NiP than Renegades upsetting TSM. These two teams have played each other two times (both at IEM Gamescom 2015 event) and both of these times TSM were the one`s who got better of CLG (16:7 at inferno and 16:12 at train). On paper and based on their previous matches – Danes of TSM should be able to defeat the boys from NA with ease!

Prediction:  Even if we see a glimpse of instability in TSM’s victory over Renegades, I still feel like TSM would remain a huge favorite in this match-up. They are too experienced and too good of a players individually to lose a game that guarantees them Top 8 finish at the Major! Also, at this point, seeing past results, I think karrigan and co has CLG`s numbers and they know exactly how to counter CLG`s logic gaming!

Suggestion:  Only if CLG demolish NiP and TSM struggle against Renegades in their opener, consider small bet on CLG, otherwise – bet on the Danish side of TSM!

CLG Renegades
CLG Logo
Date League Match type
20/08/2015 ESL One Cologne 2015 Best-of-One
TBA
TBA logo
CSGO Lounge Odds Egaming bets Odds Our Pick Our Odds Risk level
-% / -% – / – Renegades 40% / 60% 9/10

The Match-up

So this is the match-up that is least likely to happen during Day 1 of Group A, but all things considered we should still cover it if it comes down to these two! Strangely enough, despite both of these teams attending IEM Gamescom 2015, they never actually played each other, giving us practically close to zero data on which to speculate our prediction on. The only time these two met was back in ESWC 2015, where Renegades came out victorious at inferno (16:13), but that’s it! Till now the case is pretty even – CLG had a better showing at IEM Gamescom (roundwise), but Renegades beat them in their previous match. The only thing that can crack this case in favor of either one of the sides is the outcome of their previous group stage matches! If this match does happen, then I would say that Renegades accomplishment of beating TSM is much bigger than CLG`s one of winning NiP, but it can still depend on how close the games were scorewise!

Prediction: As mentioned before, I would assume that beating TSM is a much bigger accomplishment than beating NiP, purely based on TSM’s rank among top teams in the world and their actual skill level as a team. If this match does happen I’m predicting a close game, but favoring Aussies in it for sure!

Suggestion:  Unless either one of the teams (CLG or Renegades) convinced you 100% with their performance in their group stage opening game, don’t bet big here! This can go either way!

Don’t bet what you can’t afford to lose! Good luck with your bets!

– Gekons

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