|23/08/2015||ESL One Cologne 2015||Best-of-Three|
|CSGO Lounge Odds||Egaming bets Odds||Our Pick||Our Odds||Risk level|
|25% / 75%||3.208 / 1.25||fnatic||30% / 70%||7/10|
These two teams have met each other numerous amount of times and for the most part fnatic have always been victorious in the duels versus the Poles! Since these two have not made any roster changes for a while now analyzing their past encounters is a pretty reliable source of data to use for further speculations. Looking at the past 5 maps these two have played against each other, the Poles have only managed to win one (16:12 at cache), whereas fnatic have won the other four – 3:16 at overpass, 9:16 at dust2, 12:16 at overpass and 2:16 at cobblestone.
Looking at the performance of these two teams during the past three days I can definitely say that Virtus.Pro are looking good, but not the best, fnatic best (hope you get the reference).
Looking at VP’s performance during the past three days at Cologne, we can safely say that Poles are coming back to their glory form. In their opening match, Poles managed to secure a victory over not-so-experienced (but always a dark-horse) team Immunity from Australia with a 16:8 scoreline at cobblestone. After that, they were set to battle against the boys from North America in form of Cloud9, to decide who’s going to take the spot in play-offs! I think fans all over the world expected a closer match than we actually saw (16:8 win at cobblestone, again), but seeing TaZ’s confidence in the post-game interview where he said something on the lines of “Seangares is too easy to read” and “If you can read sean’s mind, you don’t have to worry about anything else in the game”, it’s pretty safe to say that Poles just had Cloud9 all figured out. Coming into day three the Poles were matched up against the always-so-fearsome-on-Majors team Ninjas in Pyjamas, who turned out not to be up for the task of handling Poles. On the first map it did take the Poles all 30 rounds to come out victorious in a nerve-wrecking game at the train (16:14 win), but after that it was all downhill for the Swedes on the second map which Poles took quite easily – 16:5 win at inferno. We can all be happy for the Poles as they enter another guaranteed Top 4 finish at the Major, but it’s pretty safe to say that NiP and fnatic are too very different kind of opponents!
On the other hand we have fnatic who totally and utterly demolished Poles from eBettle in their opening match (16:2 at mirage), but that was kind of expected knowing how big of a skill gap (both as team and individuals) these two opponents had. But later on, when they were facing CIS powerhouse Natus Vincere in order to determine who gets the spot in the play-offs, they did completely the same thing – totally and utterly demolished them in a 16:2 fashion at inferno! Coming into day three the Swedes were matched up against a very favorable opponent in form of Luminosity from Brazil. Although, the boys from Brazil did put up a fight in the second map of the series held at mirage (16:14 win for fnatic), the first map namely train was a total Swede-show (16:5 win for fnatic). Some may argue that playing a 16:14 game versus a team like Luminosity is quite awful result for the number one team in the world, but I think that the skill gap between elite teams in the world is as narrow as it has ever been in the competitive CS:GO scene, and to be honest any team can push the limits of any team at this point! Plus, let’s not underestimate the power of Brazilians, they did push a team like EnVy Us to the previously mentioned limits just two days ago! All in all – I think that any other team at the event should definitely be scared of facing the Swedes right now as they are definitely a nut that other can’t crack right now!
Prediction: For me this is a pretty favorable match-up for the Swedes and they should be able to seal the deal for the Grand Finals right here, right now! Let’s just put it this way – Poles only stand a chance at winning this semi-final if they show up with their A-game and fnatic doesn’t, because it’s sure as hell that fnatic’s prime form is quite a level above VP’s one! As much as I love paszaBiceps, this one should be in his best-friend’s olof’s bag!
Suggestion: Currently odds on CSGLounge are a bit too skewed towards the Swedes, but if you’re a betting-addict and you just have to bet no matter what, go for the black-orange army (fnatic)! If not, consider skipping or making a low bet on VP just to make the series more watchable!
Don’t bet what you can’t afford to lose! Good luck with your bets!